Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 821.196497 929.508912 1051.053763 1198.387426 1373.263348 1575.588804 1829.405825
2025-02-09 666.271516 808.899997 984.377524 1219.569476 1531.875811 1940.202630 2528.023374
2025-02-16 573.845666 727.096656 926.718975 1212.131072 1620.641618 2202.332609 3128.808187
2025-02-23 522.332696 685.489021 908.361450 1245.106253 1759.955516 2552.226246 3941.037108
2025-03-02 482.436561 652.015093 893.164920 1275.343511 1894.854647 2918.257761 4883.356501
2025-03-09 443.891553 614.609057 865.624725 1279.843263 1986.148032 3228.871514 5824.219550
2025-03-16 407.165139 575.198037 829.272464 1263.197316 2036.285187 3474.830980 6719.983893
2025-03-23 384.118435 553.623620 817.227099 1283.479569 2152.862359 3869.716073 8085.024720
2025-03-30 352.345651 515.288883 773.955013 1243.520518 2149.651369 4022.892661 8942.196945
2025-04-06 325.463166 482.301549 735.983635 1207.643925 2147.407156 4176.430902 9866.078202
2025-04-13 300.730428 450.765415 697.422003 1165.730875 2125.677450 4281.084542 10703.391276
2025-04-20 292.681702 445.906251 703.754074 1208.418108 2286.982569 4855.277953 13261.722316
2025-04-27 281.280217 435.231944 700.158495 1234.185548 2423.451182 5428.346680 16283.203537
2025-05-04 269.658978 423.359486 693.487390 1253.532193 2551.527140 6030.040594 19944.978994
2025-05-11 255.664968 406.147486 675.201916 1246.096299 2614.122839 6469.392543 23353.493301
2025-05-18 248.130034 399.742810 676.443897 1280.236320 2787.527549 7311.838433 29618.956291
2025-05-25 240.807939 393.091002 676.461954 1311.577930 2961.326582 8234.161858 37660.275027
2025-06-01 231.133890 381.368229 665.402185 1316.241932 3064.117522 8959.919158 45742.207539
2025-06-08 219.993315 366.136935 646.009402 1298.988105 3101.517002 9463.897980 53237.511358
2025-06-15 213.480886 359.195156 642.826193 1320.011368 3257.116694 10517.017011 67711.205379
2025-06-22 201.612539 341.248681 615.480138 1278.595674 3213.453554 10715.937727 74759.765860
2025-06-29 190.998761 325.144599 590.874094 1241.422665 3176.884469 10939.792572 82893.914757
2025-07-06 180.575753 308.870496 564.840156 1198.009055 3112.882989 11017.966683 89792.958751